Stocks pause days of losses ahead of US jobs data: Markets Wrap

by skolnes


(Bloomberg) — Global equities steadied after days of declines as uncertainty over the health of the US economy and the pace of possible Federal Reserve interest rate cuts persist.

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Europe’s Stoxx 600 index was little changed, with chemical stocks and miners posting the biggest losses after iron ore fell to the lowest since 2022. US futures contracts held steady, while Asian equities erased most gains after declines in Hong Kong and Japan.

Traders are looking toward weekly jobless claims data due later today and Friday’s nonfarm payrolls reports to assess whether the US economy is heading for a soft-landing as the Fed prepares to start easing policy.

Swap traders have ramped up bets on the pace of rate cuts after a Wednesday reading on US job openings trailed estimates and the Fed’s Beige Book survey showed flat or declining economic activity. Rates pricing now foresees at least 100 basis points of easing this year, including one jumbo cut of 50 basis points.

“We think that the US soft landing scenario is intact but acknowledge that the next two-three months could be a tricky period,” Eddy Loh, chief investment officer at Maybank Group Wealth Management, said on Bloomberg Television. “If the Fed were to cut 50 basis points, the market could perceive it as a negative because that means the Fed is seeing something in the economy.”

Treasury yields were little changed after tumbling Wednesday on the data showing a slowdown in the US labor market. The dollar held steady.

Iron ore slumped to trade near $90 a ton as China’s main steel industry group advised mills to be cautious in boosting output too quickly to avoid snuffing out a post-summer recovery.

Key events this week:

  • Eurozone retail sales, Thursday

  • US initial jobless claims, ADP employment, ISM services index, Thursday

  • Eurozone GDP, Friday

  • US nonfarm payrolls, Friday

  • Fed’s John Williams speaks, Friday

Some of the main moves in markets:

Stocks

  • The Stoxx Europe 600 was little changed as of 8:35 a.m. London time

  • S&P 500 futures rose 0.1%

  • Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.1%

  • Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.1%

  • The MSCI Asia Pacific Index was little changed

  • The MSCI Emerging Markets Index rose 0.2%

Currencies

  • The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was little changed

  • The euro was little changed at $1.1081

  • The Japanese yen was little changed at 143.64 per dollar

  • The offshore yuan rose 0.1% to 7.1028 per dollar

  • The British pound was little changed at $1.3141

Cryptocurrencies

  • Bitcoin fell 1.5% to $57,200.93

  • Ether fell 1.6% to $2,414.75

Bonds

  • The yield on 10-year Treasuries advanced one basis point to 3.76%

  • Germany’s 10-year yield declined one basis point to 2.21%

  • Britain’s 10-year yield declined two basis points to 3.92%

Commodities

  • Brent crude rose 0.6% to $73.11 a barrel

  • Spot gold rose 0.4% to $2,505.70 an ounce

This story was produced with the assistance of Bloomberg Automation.

—With assistance from Chiranjivi Chakraborty.

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©2024 Bloomberg L.P.

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