One of the most profound changes in the tech landscape over the past couple of years has been the advancements in the field of artificial intelligence (AI). There’s a strong argument that the advent of AI early last year was one of the biggest sparks that set off the current bull market rally. ChatGPT heralded the advent of generative AI, and since its release in November 2022, the S&P 500 has jumped 46%, while the Nasdaq Composite has surged 67% (as of this writing).
While there have been plenty of beneficiaries of these secular tailwinds, one of the most notable has been Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA). In a nutshell, the company’s graphics processing units (GPUs), which were originally developed to craft lifelike images in video games, proved equally adept at powering AI models.
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The resulting run on Nvidia’s chips fueled incredible financial results and sent the stock into the stratosphere. Since the beginning of last year, Nvidia stock is up more than 900% (as of market close on Thursday), turning the company into a stock market darling.
Nvidia has a lot riding on its financial results next week. Let’s look at the run-up to this critical quarter, what Wall Street is saying, and what investors should expect.
As technologists began to understand the implications of generative AI in early 2023, demand for Nvidia’s AI-centric processors went from zero to 60 in just months. In the company’s fiscal 2024 second quarter (ended July 30), the results were nothing short of astounding. Nvidia delivered record revenue of $13.5 billion, up 101% year over year, while its adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.70 soared 429%. EPS in terms of generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) were even more striking, up 854%.
The next four quarters were equally impressive, with record-setting, triple-digit sales and profit growth in each one. Nvidia’s fiscal 2025 second quarter (ended July 28) was the latest in the streak. Record revenue of $30 billion jumped 122% year over year, while adjusted EPS of $0.68 soared 152%. It’s worth noting that investors had concerns about Nvidia’s gross margin, which ticked lower, but that was from a record high set in the second quarter.
Astute investors knew the company’s triple-digit streak would eventually come to an end, and management suggested that time has come. For the soon-to-be-announced third quarter (ended Oct. 29), Nvidia is guiding for revenue of $32.5 billion, which would represent year-over-year growth of 79%.