It’s hard to believe that only three weeks are left in the year. But a lot can happen in three weeks. The Federal Reserve is set to meet in the middle of December, and it has signaled a desire to cut interest rates further at that time.
When it cut rates in September, the stock market had an extremely positive reaction, and another cut could activate more market enthusiasm. Mortgage rates began to go down when interest rates were cut, but they’re going back up. Further cuts could be crucial to bringing them back down and stimulating the housing market — and, by default, housing-related industries.
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Home Depot (NYSE: HD), Opendoor Technologies (NASDAQ: OPEN), and Wayfair (NYSE: W) could still benefit in a big way before the end of the year, and now could be an excellent time to buy shares.
Home Depot is the largest home improvement chain in the world, with 2,300 stores in North America. It reports reliably strong performance — most of the time. But it’s been feeling inflationary and high-interest-rate pressure, and sales have been declining, as have earnings per share (EPS).
High mortgage rates are resulting in fewer people looking for new homes or putting their existing homes on the market. Buying new homes comes with all kinds of home improvement projects, and they’re on hold now.
In the meantime, Home Depot is doing what it can to generate growth where it can, operate with improved cost efficiency, and position itself for a strong rebound when the time comes. Some recent actions it’s taken include building out its supply chain with new distribution centers to reach more customers with 1-day shipping and new acquisitions that target the pro customer.
There was already improvement in the fiscal third quarter (ended Oct. 27), which included some time after the interest rate cuts. Comparable sales were down 1.3% from last year, but total sales were up 6.6%. The quarter came in ahead of expectations, and management raised guidance across the board.
The market was happy, too. Home Depot stock rose after the results were released, and it’s up 23% this year. That’s still underperforming the market, but it demonstrates a good deal of confidence in Home Depot’s ability to rebound under better conditions. If interest rates continue to go down, Home Depot stock should rise, and it will be in an excellent position to keep going in 2025.